Uji Robustness · Simulasi ±20%
Analisis Sensitivitas
Simulasi perubahan bobot ±20% per kriteria untuk menguji stabilitas ranking destinasi
📐 Metodologi Analisis Sensitivitas
1
Pilih Kriteria Target
Satu kriteria diubah ±20% dari bobot baseline
2
Redistribusi Bobot Lain
Bobot kriteria lain dikurangi/ditambah secara proporsional agar Σ = 1.00
3
Hitung Ulang MFEP
Total Skor dan Ranking dihitung ulang dengan bobot skenario baru
4
Uji Stabilitas
Jika rentang rank ≤ 2 di semua skenario → model dinyatakan ROBUST
Bobot Skenario Simulasi (+20%)
| Kriteria | Baseline | +K1 | +K2 | +K3 | +K4 | +K5 | +K6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K1 | 0.25 | 0.3000 | 0.2375 | 0.2412 | 0.2375 | 0.2444 | 0.2444 |
| K2 | 0.2 | 0.1867 | 0.2400 | 0.1929 | 0.1900 | 0.1956 | 0.1956 |
| K3 | 0.15 | 0.1400 | 0.1425 | 0.1800 | 0.1425 | 0.1467 | 0.1467 |
| K4 | 0.2 | 0.1867 | 0.1900 | 0.1929 | 0.2400 | 0.1956 | 0.1956 |
| K5 | 0.1 | 0.0933 | 0.0950 | 0.0965 | 0.0950 | 0.1200 | 0.0978 |
| K6 | 0.1 | 0.0933 | 0.0950 | 0.0965 | 0.0950 | 0.0978 | 0.1200 |
| Σ CHECK | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
📊 Matriks Ranking per Skenario
Stabil (rentang ≤ 2)
Sensitif (rentang > 2)
| Kode | Nama Destinasi | Baseline | +K1 | -K1 | +K2 | -K2 | +K3 | -K3 | +K4 | -K4 | +K5 | -K5 | +K6 | -K6 | Min | Max | Rentang | Stabilitas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D01 | Timlo Sastro |
1
|
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Stabil |
| D02 | Nasi Liwet Bu Wongso Lemu |
2
|
2 | 3 ↓ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Stabil |
| D11 | Tengkleng Bu Edi |
3
|
3 | 4 ↓ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | Stabil |
| D20 | Pasar Triwindu - Kuliner Heritage |
4
|
4 | 2 ↑ | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | Stabil |
| D06 | Pasar Gede - Zona Kuliner |
5
|
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | Stabil |
| D03 | Selat Solo Mbak Lies |
6
|
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 ↓ | 6 | 6 | 7 ↓ | 6 | 7 | 1 | Stabil |
| D08 | Dawet Telasih Bu Dermi |
7
|
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 ↑ | 8 ↓ | 8 ↓ | 6 ↑ | 6 | 8 | 2 | Stabil |
| D19 | Bestik Jawa Pak Maryanto |
8
|
8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 ↑ | 7 ↑ | 8 | 7 | 8 | 1 | Stabil |
| D16 | Gempol Pleret Bu Sari |
9
|
9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | Stabil |
| D18 | Garang Asem Bu Sulastri |
10
|
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 0 | Stabil |
| D15 | Jenang Mirah |
11
|
11 | 13 ↓ | 11 | 11 | 13 ↓ | 11 | 13 ↓ | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 2 | Stabil |
| D04 | Soto Gading |
12
|
13 ↓ | 11 ↑ | 13 ↓ | 12 | 11 ↑ | 13 ↓ | 11 ↑ | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 2 | Stabil |
| D10 | Sate Buntel Mbok Galak |
13
|
14 ↓ | 12 ↑ | 14 ↓ | 13 | 12 ↑ | 14 ↓ | 12 ↑ | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 2 | Stabil |
| D05 | Wedangan Jadul Pak Gareng |
14
|
15 ↓ | 14 | 15 ↓ | 14 | 14 | 15 ↓ | 14 | 15 ↓ | 14 | 15 ↓ | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 1 | Stabil |
| D12 | Cabuk Rambak Pak Birin |
15
|
12 ↑ | 15 | 12 ↑ | 15 | 15 | 12 ↑ | 15 | 14 ↑ | 15 | 14 ↑ | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 3 | Sensitif |
| D14 | Wedang Ronde Pak Min |
16
|
16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 0 | Stabil |
| D07 | Nasi Gudeg Bu Semi |
17
|
18 ↓ | 18 ↓ | 17 | 17 | 18 ↓ | 18 ↓ | 17 | 18 ↓ | 18 ↓ | 17 | 18 ↓ | 17 | 17 | 18 | 1 | Stabil |
| D09 | Intip Goreng Pak Slamet |
18
|
17 ↑ | 20 ↓ | 18 | 18 | 20 ↓ | 17 ↑ | 20 ↓ | 17 ↑ | 17 ↑ | 20 ↓ | 19 ↓ | 18 | 17 | 20 | 3 | Sensitif |
| D13 | Roti Mandarin Orion |
19
|
20 ↓ | 17 ↑ | 19 | 19 | 17 ↑ | 20 ↓ | 18 ↑ | 19 | 19 | 18 ↑ | 17 ↑ | 20 ↓ | 17 | 20 | 3 | Sensitif |
| D17 | Sego Pecel Bu Tun |
20
|
19 ↑ | 19 ↑ | 20 | 20 | 19 ↑ | 19 ↑ | 19 ↑ | 20 | 20 | 19 ↑ | 20 | 19 ↑ | 19 | 20 | 1 | Stabil |
↑ = naik peringkat (lebih baik) | ↓ = turun peringkat | Tidak ada tanda = peringkat tetap
📈 Visualisasi Perubahan Ranking Top-10 saat +20% per Kriteria
✅ Kesimpulan Analisis Robustness
17
Destinasi Stabil
3
Destinasi Sensitif
85%
Tingkat Stabilitas
✅
MODEL ROBUST
Kesimpulan:
17 dari 20 destinasi (85%) menunjukkan ranking yang stabil
(rentang ≤ 2 peringkat) di seluruh 12 skenario simulasi (±20% per kriteria).
Model MFEP dinyatakan ROBUST — perubahan bobot moderat tidak mengubah ranking secara signifikan. Top-5 destinasi (D01, D02, D11, D20, D06) konsisten berada di posisi teratas di semua skenario.